Open Interest for Futures Traders
Open Interest is the total number of futures contracts
in a futures market that have not been closed out by an offsetting
transaction, by delivery of the underlying commodity or by cash
settlement.
When a new delivery month for a futures contract begins,
there is no open interest because there are no futures contracts being
traded in that delivery month. As trading builds up for that
delivery month open interest also increases. Towards the end of the
delivery month for that contract open interest declines as positions are
closed out, rolled into the next delivery month or delivery of the
underlying commodity for that futures contract is fulfilled.
Open interest increases when a new buyer takes on a new
long position and a new seller takes on a new short position. This
transaction creates a new futures contract, and open interest increases by
one.
Open interest stays the same when a new buyer purchases
an existing long position that is being exited, or when a new seller
purchases an existing short position that is being exited. Open
interest stays the same because no new contract was created since the
position was offset. A new buyer / seller purchased an existing long
/ short position.
Open interest declines when an existing buyer and seller
are offsetting their respective long and short positions. Open
interest declines by one contract because these are existing
positions. Long and short are exiting the market, long is selling
his / her position and the short is buying his / her position back and no
new customers are involved.
Open interest decreases when the delivery of a contract
is made. The person holding the short position delivers the contract
and a long accepts delivery of the contract. Open interest declines
by one contract because the two existing positions, long and short, were
closed out by delivery of the contract.
There are only 3 ways to close out a futures contract
- An offsetting transaction - an existing long and
short create an offsetting transaction
- Physical delivery - the commodity specified in the
futures contract is delivered, delivery is accepted.
- Cash settlement - instead of a commodity being
delivered, the cash value of that commodity is paid out to the buyer.
Open interest is usually highest for the nearby contract
month. When you are looking at open interest, it is important that
you look at the total open interest, for all delivery months, not
open interest for the individual months.
The total open interest will give
you a better idea of the liquidity of the futures contract, which is
important for getting in and out of the market at the best price
possible. Low open interest means low liquidity, which leads to poor
fills and exits, slippage and lost money. The total open interest
will also give you an indication of the direction the futures contract may
be trading, or trending, in.
|